Jorge Rey beats Aemet to the punch with his forecast for the 12 August eclipse

Weather enthusiast Jorge Rey has beaten the State Meteorological Agency (Aemet) to the punch with his forecast for the solar eclipse that will be visible in Spain on 12 August. According to press reports, Rey maintains that his traditional forecasting method already anticipated the atmospheric conditions for that day: "The Cabañuelas warned of it," he has said.

Rey bases his forecast on the Cabañuelas, an empirical method that observes the behaviour of the first days of August to anticipate the weather for the year ahead. The solar eclipse on 12 August will be visible in various parts of Spain, and cloud cover or clear skies at that moment will determine whether it can be observed.

The discrepancy between the two approaches is the story. Rey insists that his traditional method allows him to anticipate the weather for that day, while Aemet, as the official institution, bases its predictions on scientific models and instrumental data. So far, no official forecast has been published by the agency for that specific date to confirm or contradict the amateur's prediction.

What is verifiable is the date: the solar eclipse of 12 August is a confirmed astronomical phenomenon, and Spain will lie within its visibility zone. What cannot be established with certainty is what the weather will be like exactly that day. Rey's prediction belongs to the realm of attributed claims, not documented facts.

While waiting for Aemet's official forecast, the anticipation is palpable. Whether the sky clears or clouds over on 12 August, the Cabañuelas and the scientific models will face their own particular test before the eyes of all who look up at the sun.

Piece written and translated automatically from cross-checked sources in several countries.